Welcome to the week the place, in idea, the MLB scorching range ought to decide up. Usually talking, between Thanksgiving and Christmas — with the week of the winter conferences being prime territory — is when there’s essentially the most offseason motion with free agent signings and trades.
Now, we have had a stretch of bizarre offseasons, with the proprietor lockout final 12 months following the affect COVID had and there have been even a number of unnecessarily gradual winters earlier than the 2019-2020 one which had some main fireworks on the winter conferences. Because of this I mentioned “in idea.”
It has actually been gradual so far. Of the highest 50 free brokers, the one one who has signed with a brand new workforce has been beginning pitcher Tyler Anderson, who went from the Dodgers to the Angels after rejecting his qualifying provide. The large names to signal had been Anthony Rizzo and Edwin Díaz, however none got here with a lot drama they usually stayed put. The predictable Clayton Kershaw return to the Dodgers was rumored, however would not look like ultimate but.
It is a roundabout technique to say that we’re hopeful issues are about to select up.
And, hey, what have you learnt? After this was initially printed, José Abreu agreed to a three-year deal value roughly $50 million with the Astros (full story right here).
Let’s try the most recent rumors in preparation for a coming uptick in exercise.
Dodgers to satisfy with Verlander
The Dodgers are assembly with free agent ace Justin Verlander Monday, in accordance with Jon Heyman, who additionally names the Yankees, Mets and Astros are groups in on the beginning pitcher.
Verlander is heading for his age-40 season and not too long ago had Tommy John surgical procedure. After all, he additionally went 18-4 with a 1.75 ERA (220 ERA+, which was a profession finest), 0.83 WHIP and his third Cy Younger. The strikeout fee has fallen from its 2018-19 peak, however the future Corridor of Famer clearly has realized the right way to pitch round that — and it is not low.
In all chance, Verlander’s mannequin right here is Max Scherzer’s short-term, enormous average-annual worth contract with the Mets (two years, greater than $86 million plus a $43.33 million participant choice for a 3rd 12 months).
The Astros can completely afford to do that, particularly after profitable the World Sequence. We all know the Dodgers can. The Yankees in all probability would not do that until this miss out on Aaron Choose. As for the Mets, effectively …
Mets’ “focus” is deGrom
Whereas the Mets are displaying curiosity in different obtainable aces, retaining Jacob deGrom “seems to be their focus,” experiences Ken Rosenthal in an extended column on The Athletic that hits many various angles and is value a learn for subscribers.
As Rosenthal famous, it is doable to see somebody just like the Braves or Rangers swoop in whereas we will not rely out the likes of the Dodgers. We’ll speculatively throw within the Yankees and Giants, whichever one — or each — misses out on Aaron Choose, too. Nevertheless it does seem to be it is doable that the almost certainly match for deGrom is solely heading again to Queens.
deGrom was a frontline starter from his rookie 12 months in 2014 by way of 2017 after which morphed into one of the best pitcher on the planet. From 2018-21, he had a 1.94 ERA (205 ERA+) and 0.88 WHIP with 774 strikeouts in opposition to 115 unintentional walks in 581 innings. Principally, that is Prime Pedro territory. Accidents held him to simply 26 begins between 2021 and final season. Plus, his ERA tumbled to three.08 in his 11 begins final 12 months and he is heading to his age-35 season.
After all, he additionally struck out 102 in opposition to eight walks (2.13 FIP) and posted a 0.75 WHIP in his 64 1/3 innings final 12 months. He is removed from performed.
Maybe the Verlander and Choose signings would make issues extra clear on deGrom? Or perhaps the Mets simply make issues straightforward and lock him up earlier than anything occurs.
Huge marketplace for Bogaerts
Unsurprisingly, there look like a variety of groups displaying curiosity in free agent shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Among the many groups, in accordance with Marino Pepén, are the Phillies, Pink Sox, Padres, Dodgers, Cubs and Twins with the Cardinals on the periphery.
Not one of the groups are particularly shocking and we all know a number of issues:
The Pink Sox are prioritizing BogaertsThe Twins are specializing in bringing again Carlos CorreaThe Cardinals are prone to keep on the periphery until the market falls apartThe Padres might get priced out, given their heavy commitments and wish for beginning pitchingThe Dodgers, Cubs and Phillies are possible engaged on a number of fronts with Correa, Trea Turner and Dansby Swanson additionally in the marketplace.
The shortstop musical chairs stays essentially the most enjoyable a part of this free company class.
Many have Bogaerts ranked behind Turner and Correa, however he is no slouch. The four-time All-Star continues to be solely heading to his age-30 season and he is gotten MVP votes every of the final 5 years, ending fifth in 2019 and ninth final season. Talking of 2022, he hit .307/.377/.456 (131 OPS+) with 38 doubles, 15 homers, 73 RBI, 84 runs, eight steals and 5.8 WAR. By WAR, it was the second-best season of his profession after 6.3 in 2019.
Mariners concerned with Conforto
The Mariners are among the many groups with curiosity in outfielder Michael Conforto, in accordance with Jon Morosi of MLB.com. Conforto, after all, didn’t play this previous season after struggling a shoulder damage throughout a exercise. Conforto was nonetheless ranked by CBS Sports activities because the thirty fourth finest free agent obtainable this winter. Seattle has already added one notable outfielder this winter, buying Teoscar Hernández from the Blue Jays as a part of a three-player swap.
Orioles in on pitching through commerce and/or free company
The Orioles are in prime place to make a giant splash this offseason. They’ve such a robust farm system they may commerce from it for big-league expertise, they need to have cash to spend and are possible seeking to construct off the momentum from shock rivalry final season.
Beginning pitching seems to be a spotlight. Rosenthal experiences the Orioles are “dabbling” within the free-agent marketplace for starters but additionally “can’t be dominated out” on buying and selling for “any” beginning pitcher that turns into obtainable. He names Corbin Burnes, Pablo López, Zack Plesac and Tarik Skubal.
Clearly, there’s variance in these names from a Cy Younger winner in Burnes to mid-rotation sorts in Plesac and Skubal.
Between 2022 breakout Dean Kremer and promising prospect Grayson Rodriguez — to not point out the eventual return of John Means from Tommy John surgical procedure — the Orioles aren’t determined for rotation assist, although they will want so as to add a number of arms to proceed their ascent within the AL East.
Pirates taking a look at Gibson
The Pirates have proven “real curiosity” in free agent beginning pitcher Kyle Gibson, experiences The Athletic.
The 35-year-old Gibson was 10-8 with a 5.05 ERA (81 ERA+), 1.34 WHIP and 144 strikeouts in opposition to 44 walks in 167 2/3 innings for the Phillies final season. Issues by no means actually clicked for Gibson in Philly after the Rangers traded him there forward of the 2021 commerce deadline. In his 19 begins for the Rangers that season, Gibson was 6-3 with a 2.87 ERA.
Within the combine for Pirates rotation spots proper now could be the likes of Roansy Contreras, Mitch Keller, J.T. Brubaker, Johan Oviedo, Bryse Wilson and Zach Thompson.
Teheran indicators minor-league cope with Padres
Former MLB pitcher Julio Teheran has signed a minor-league cope with the Padres, Heyman experiences. The deal could possibly be value as much as $6 million for Teheran, but when he earns all these incentives on an MiLB deal, it’s going to have been effectively value it for the Padres.
Teheran might have one thing left within the tank at age 31. He final pitched within the majors in 2021, making one begin for the Tigers earlier than a shoulder damage ended his season. This 12 months, he is pitched for 2 totally different groups within the Mexican League, in addition to within the Dominican Winter League and with the Staten Island FerryHawks within the unbiased Atlantic League. Mixed, he is posted a 3.57 ERA and 1.12 WHIP with 56 strikeouts in opposition to 10 walks in 68 innings throughout 14 begins.
As issues presently stand, the Padres have Yu Darvish, Joe Musgrove and Blake Snell atop their rotation, whereas it appears to be like like Nick Martinez will get a shot to begin once more with the fifth spot open.
Aquino heads to Japan
Former Reds outfielder Aristides Aquino has signed with the Chunichi Dragons in Japan’s NPB, experiences Jon Morosi. In 762 plate appearances over elements of 5 seasons with Cincinnati, he hit .211/.285/.434 with 41 residence runs and 108 RBI. Notably, the Cubs may breathe a sigh of aid. Twelve of Aquino’s 41 homers got here in opposition to the Cubs, regardless of not hitting greater than six in opposition to every other workforce.